Buccaneers vs. Bears odds, line: Thursday Night Football picks, predictions from top model on 103-69 roll

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have one of the top receivers in the NFL in Mike Evans, who has recorded over 1,000 yards each of his first six seasons. The three-time Pro Bowler played through an ankle injury on Sunday to make seven catches for 122 yards and a touchdown. The Buccaneers hope to have Evans, who hasn’t practiced this week and is listed as questionable, on the field when they visit the Chicago Bears on Thursday Night Football. Kickoff from Soldier Field is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET.

Evans extended his streak to five straight games with a TD reception when the Buccaneers (3-1) defeated the Los Angeles Chargers 38-31 in Week 4. Chicago (3-1) is coming off its first loss of the 2020 NFL season, a 19-11 home setback against Indianapolis. Tampa Bay is a 3.5-point favorite in the latest Buccaneers vs. Bears odds from William Hill, while the over-under is 44.5. Before locking in any Bears vs. Buccaneers picks, make sure you see the latest Thursday Night Football predictions from SportsLine’s proven projection model. 

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,300 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It’s off to a strong 7-4 roll on top-rated NFL picks this season. The model enters Week 5 on an incredible 103-69 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Bucs vs. Bears. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NFL odds from William Hill and trends for Bears vs. Bucs:

  • Buccaneers vs. Bears spread: Tampa Bay -3.5
  • Buccaneers vs. Bears over-under: 44.5 points
  • Buccaneers vs. Bears money line: Tampa Bay -190, Chicago +170
  • TB: The Buccaneers are 4-0 against the spread in their last four games as a road favorite
  • CHI: The Bears are 1-8 ATS in their last nine contests following a straight-up loss

Why the Buccaneers can cover

With fellow wideouts Chris Godwin (hamstring) and Justin Watson (chest) ruled out, Tampa Bay’s passing game certainly would benefit from Evans’ presence. Regardless, Scotty Miller likely will see plenty of action. The 23-year-old from Bowling Green already is second on the Buccaneers with 15 catches and leads the team with 250 receiving yards.

Tom Brady spread the wealth during his five-touchdown effort on Sunday, throwing scoring passes to two wideouts, a pair of tight ends and a running back. He finished with 369 passing yards to pull even with Peyton Manning for second place on the all-time list with 93 300-yard performances. The outing earned him NFC Offensive Player of the Week honors, marking the first time he received the distinction in his new conference and 31st overall in his career.

Why the Bears can cover

Quarterback Nick Foles was unable to lead Chicago to victory over the Colts after guiding the team to a comeback win over Atlanta in relief of Mitchell Trubisky a week earlier. The Super Bowl LII MVP did throw for 249 yards and a touchdown while completing 26 of 42 passes in a losing cause. Foles is 96-of-114 for 1,104 yards with six TDs and just one interception in four career games against Tampa Bay.

Since the Bears’ ground attack was non-existent against the Colts (28 yards on 16 carries), wide receiver Allen Robinson II emerged as the team’s top offensive player in the contest. The 27-year-old wideout from Penn State had seven receptions for 101 yard and a touchdown, marking the second straight game in which he’s recorded 100 receiving yards and a score. Robinson has been targeted 41 times this year, more than twice as many times as anyone else, and has reeled in 25 catches for 331 yards and a pair of TDs this year.

How to make Buccaneers vs. Bears picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total. In fact, it says both starting quarterbacks will be held under 250 passing yards. It also says one side of the spread cashes in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins Bears vs. Buccaneers on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Buccaneers vs. Bears spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up more than $7,300 on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.

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