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A researcher debunks Stock-to-Flow model, likens Bitcoin to a ‘tech stock’

A report authored by the research team of ByteTree purports to debunk one of the most popular Bitcoin (BTC) valuation models — Stock-to-Flow. The model provides a very optimistic forecast for Bitcoin, claiming that a year from now we should see price levels above $100,000.

Source: Glassnode.

BytTree’s co-founder and chief investment officer, Charlie Morris, dedicates the entire fourth chapter of the report to “debunking” it. The stock-to-flow models have been applied for decades to forecast the price of commodities like gold and silver. Stock is the existing supply of the asset and flow is the additional new supply that is being generated. Applied to Bitcoin, it hinges on the fact that its inflation or flow will be getting progressively smaller, while the stock-to-flow ratio will be getting progressively higher. Thus, producing “sky is the limit” forecasts for the price.

Morris contends that the Bitcoin price is not dictated

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Serious Warning Issued Over $300,000 Bitcoin Stock-To-Flow Price Model

Bitcoin is on track to be one of the year’s best performing assets, despite a recent retraction—but that’s not stopped bitcoin bulls from fighting on Twitter.

The bitcoin price has climbed through much of 2020, adding some 40%, with the bullish stock-to-flow model—that predicts a massive $288,000 bitcoin price before 2024—working “like clockwork,” according to its anonymous creator.

However, a number of high-profile bitcoin analysts and entrepreneurs have clashed over the stock-to-flow model this last week, with the anonymous PlanB accusing his critics of trying to unmask him and his model derided as “absolutely useless.”

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“The [stock-to-flow] model is based

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