model

Model: Mass. to reach almost 10,000 coronavirus deaths within weeks

The state continues to edge toward the grim milestone of 10,000 deaths due to the coronavirus.

A University of Massachusetts model suggests the state’s tally could stand at 9,991 coronavirus deaths by Nov. 7, though researchers noted the numbers could range between 9,859 and 10,187.

Last week, the model had suggested the state would see 9,967 deaths a week earlier, by Oct. 31.

The model numbers reflect both confirmed and probable coronavirus deaths. The state had tallied 9,630 confirmed and probable deaths as of Tuesday.

The rate of deaths reported each day has declined after a terrifying climb this spring. The model projects it will continue to decline gradually in the next few weeks. But the heartbreaking numbers have not gone to zero.

The model also projects a gradual decline in confirmed and probable coronavirus cases. Governor Charlie Baker has acknowledged a recent rise in cases, but says the state

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style

Michigan man charged in execution-style deaths of boy, 6, father and girlfriend

A falling-out over drug deals allegedly led to the slayings of Tukoyo Moore and his son, Tai’raz.

A Michigan man has been charged in the execution-style slaying of six-year-old Tai’raz Moore, the child’s father and his dad’s girlfriend.

Nicholas Raad Bahri, 37, was arraigned Tuesday on three homicide charges, as well as three charges of committing a felony while possessing a gun, three charges involving a felon carrying a gun and a charge of mutilating a dead body.

A falling-out over drug deals reportedly led to the slayings of Tukoyo Moore and his son, Tai’raz (left), allegedly at the hands of Nicholas Raad Bahri (right).
A falling-out over drug deals reportedly led to the slayings of Tukoyo Moore and his son, Tai’raz (left), allegedly at the hands of Nicholas Raad Bahri (right).

The killing of the young boy sparked outrage in Michigan. Moore and his father’s girlfriend, Isis Rimson, 28, were found shot to death on Oct. 1 in the basement of their house in Warren, which is located about 20 miles north of Detroit.

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model

Deaths could approach 400,000 by February, model predicts

The US coronavirus death toll could almost double to about 400,000 by February, an influential model predicts.



a person standing on a sidewalk: People walk through Times Square near Broadway and an empty theater district on October 9, 2020 in New York City. (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images)


© Spencer Platt/Getty Images)
People walk through Times Square near Broadway and an empty theater district on October 9, 2020 in New York City. (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images)

This comes as the country reports the highest number of daily Covid-19 infections in almost two months, with experts offering grim outlooks if Americans don’t take precautions.

The latest forecast projects 394,693 US coronavirus deaths by February 1, 2021. That’s about 181,000 additional lives lost beyond the current US death toll of 213,860, according to data from Johns Hopkins University.

The model, from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington School of Medicine, projects that daily deaths in the US will peak at about 2,300 in mid-January.

For comparison, Friday’s US death toll was 990, according to Johns

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model

School closures probably aren’t leading to more deaths post-lockdown

Scientists are often quick to remind the public: no model is perfect.

After Professor Neil Ferguson’s computer model suggested in March that 500,000 people in the UK would die of the coronavirus without lockdown measures, the UK quickly abandoned its herd immunity strategy and resorted to shutting down schools and businesses.

A June review in the journal Nature showed that some researchers were able to reproduce Ferguson’s findings, but software engineers said the code was messy and some public-health experts said the results were unreliable.  

One finding in particular didn’t seem to make sense: The model showed that closing UK schools and universities during a lockdown actually led to more COVID-19 deaths than if schools had stayed open.

A new peer-reviewed report published in the BMJ on Wednesday suggests that takeaway could be accurate.

“Our first thought was that it was a mistake, but after a little work on the

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wedding

CNY wedding linked to coronavirus cases, deaths; venue’s license suspended

A wedding in Central New York has been linked to a cluster of coronavirus cases and three deaths.

The Rome Sentinel reports more than 100 people attended a wedding reception at the Twin Ponds Golf and Country Club in New York Mills on Aug. 29. A number of those people also attended the wedding ceremony held at the Lighthouse Baptist Church in Horseheads, in Chemung County, before gathering at the Mohawk Valley golf course, according to WIBX.

The crowd at the reception was twice the amount allowed by the state, according to Gov. Andrew Cuomo’s office. Guests were not required to wear face masks, no hand sanitizer was made available, and chairs were spaced just two feet apart, not allowing for social distancing.

“Most worryingly, the licensee reportedly failed to close off, clean and disinfect areas that had been inhabited by a person later confirmed to test positive for

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