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Premier League under/over betting coupon best bets from Infogol’s expected goals model

Using expected goals (xG) data, Infogol’s Jake Osgathorpe picks out the best value bets in the over/under markets from Sunday’s Premier League action.

Infogol is a revolutionary football product, which harnesses Opta data to power an expected goals model. Expected Goals quantifies the quality of a scoring opportunity, allocating each chance a probability of it finding the back of the net.

The xG metric can be used to assess teams and their performances, and it also helps to give an insight into future prospects, which in turn helps with betting.


Leicester vs West Ham

Sunday, 12:00

Leicester City are the surprise name at the top of the early Premier League table after a stunning 5-2 win at Manchester City last weekend, a game in which they deservedly picked up three points (xG: MCI 1.5

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