UMass COVID-19 model projects unsettling death toll in state, across country

Some forecast models are predicting a startling rise in COVID-19 cases and deaths in the United States through the fall and winter, including a model in Massachusetts.On Tuesday, the Massachusetts Department of Public Health reported that the state’s confirmed COVID-19 death toll has reached 9,323.According to the University of Massachusetts Amherst’s COVID-19 Forecast Hub, that number will hit 10,000 by the end of October. The model also predicts 228,000 COVID-19-related deaths nationwide by the end of the month.“It’s a grim milestone and it’s just a reminder of just how serious COVID can be,” said Nick Reich, a UMass Amherst biostatistician.The UMass Amherst model only forecasts up to a month into the future and does not account for changes in human behavior.“We’re looking into a foggy crystal ball here and it’s an inexact science,” Reich said. “Either way, a lot of people have died from COVID in Massachusetts. If we’re not … Read More

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UMass model projects state coronavirus death tally will rise to nearly 10,000 by end of month

A University of Massachusetts model predicts the state’s coronavirus death toll could rise to nearly 10,000 by Oct. 31.

The model says the state’s tally could stand at 9,967 coronavirus deaths by that time, though researchers noted the numbers could range between 9,792 and 10,262.

The model numbers reflect both confirmed and probable cases. The state had tallied 9,530 confirmed and probable case deaths as of Monday.

The rate of deaths reported each day has declined after a terrifying climb this spring, but the heartbreaking numbers have not gone to zero. The modelers say weekly deaths could range from 70 to 190 in the next four weeks.

Last week’s model had projected a slight decline in confirmed and probable coronavirus cases in coming weeks. This week’s model, however, notes a sharp increase in cases in the week ending Saturday, and it predicts the case numbers will generally stabilize at that

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Inn Beauty Project’s newest product is a fresh spin on the toothpaste pimple hack

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As weird as it sounds, toothpaste was once a well-known hack for clearing zits. Now, the Inn Beauty Project Pimple Paste is bringing the old school hack back with more skin-friendly ingredients — and I gave it a shot.

Nowadays, I don’t get zits like I did as a teenager. However, the occasional blemish will show its evil head on my skin. Pimple Paste is a new addition to Inn Beauty Project’s product line which helps target, combat and fade blemishes — plus, it’s alcohol-free. Many acne spot treatments I’ve used in the past include alcohol as one of the ingredients to help dry the zit from the

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