A University of Massachusetts model predicts the state’s coronavirus death toll could rise near 9,800 by Oct. 24.
The model says the state could tally 9,769 coronavirus deaths by that time, though researchers noted the number could range from 9,633 to 9,997.
The model numbers reflect both confirmed and probable cases. The state had tallied 9,423 confirmed and probable case deaths as of Tuesday.
The rate of deaths reported each day has slowed after a terrifying climb this spring. The model predicts the state will continue to see around 90 coronavirus deaths a week in the coming weeks.
The projection comes from a lab headed by UMass Amherst associate professor Nicholas Reich that collects various models and develops a combined forecast that is intended to reflect their collective wisdom.
It only creates the forecast for a four-week window ahead because scientists believe forecasts aren’t reliable enough after that.